Jaguar vs Altinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 2
AEB
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FEC
1 - 1
ADJ
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
3 - 1
VCR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
ADJ
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 2
FEC
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Altinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
AFO
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
46%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 2
AFC
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
PET
48%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |