Jaguar vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+599%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ISC
3 - 2
ADJ
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ADJ
0 - 0
CSC
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
ADJ
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ADJ
3 - 3
FEC
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
ADJ
70%
17%
12%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
LIM
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAB
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 0
IFC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 0
CAB
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -2 |