AD Illescas U19 vs CD Alameda MESA U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
14º
10º
54
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Illescas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
JES
1 - 1
ADI
47%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ADI
2 - 2
ODE
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 1
ADI
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 1
ADI
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ADI
1 - 4
ALM
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alameda MESA U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
5 - 0
CDM
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
EFU
1 - 0
ALA
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
UBC
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JES
0 - 3
ALA
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
ODE
63%
18%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |