Ad Guadalupe vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ad Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CFS
2 - 1
ADG
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ADG
0 - 4
LAU
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ADG
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 2
CIU
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 4
ADG
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
CFC
18%
21%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFS
6 - 0
ALC
82%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 6
CAR
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
PIN
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |