Frei Paulistano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AFP
0 - 2
FFC
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
2 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
AFP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 0
FFL
12%
23%
65%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 2
ATG
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |