Frei Paulistano vs Jacyobá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
AFP
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 4
CON
10%
16%
73%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Jacyobá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ABC
7 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 2
CEN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
5 - 1
JAC
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
JAC
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 1
CEO
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |