Frei Paulistano vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 3
AFP
14%
17%
69%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 0
AFP
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
DOR
33%
25%
43%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 3
AFP
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
ABS
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
1 - 0
SDJ
16%
17%
67%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
ABS
72%
17%
12%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SDJ
4 - 3
ABS
77%
15%
9%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |