Frei Paulistano vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
AFP
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
7 - 1
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 2
AMA
65%
21%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 5
ITA
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |