AD Esperanza vs UD Jarama 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
DOS
1 - 1
ADE
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
TOB
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PLU
0 - 1
ADE
53%
24%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEJ
68%
17%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SBL
1 - 1
ADE
26%
24%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Jarama 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 4
UDJ
46%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UDJ
0 - 0
DOS
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TOB
3 - 0
UDJ
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UDJ
2 - 1
PLU
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MEJ
0 - 0
UDJ
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |