AD Esperanza vs Trivema Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NSD
2 - 3
ADE
54%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 0
BAR
40%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 2
ADE
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 1
ADE
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 5
ESC
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Trivema Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TRN
2 - 4
VDB
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ESC
2 - 1
TRN
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TRN
1 - 0
OLI
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
4 - 4
TRN
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TRN
3 - 1
ALA
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |