Español vs Modalcoy A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 2
PIS
46%
23%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FIL
3 - 1
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
INT
39%
23%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modalcoy A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
CON
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUA
4 - 1
MOD
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
IMP
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
MOD
46%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |