AD Covadonga vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
COV
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IRI
1 - 4
COV
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COV
1 - 0
OUT
83%
10%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
4 - 1
COV
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COV
2 - 3
COR
85%
9%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOE
1 - 0
IRI
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OUT
0 - 0
TOE
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TOE
1 - 4
ARR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 2
TOE
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOE
5 - 0
AMO
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |