AD Covadonga vs Vilamarin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AMO
4 - 1
COV
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
COV
1 - 0
CEA
75%
13%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COV
1 - 4
ATT
45%
19%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COV
7 - 0
IRI
83%
10%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 1
COV
17%
17%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
2 - 2
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 3
SAL
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BMI
4 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
5 - 0
VIL
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 4
POU
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |