AD Covadonga vs Vilamarin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUI
11 - 0
COV
81%
11%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COV
3 - 6
TOE
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
COV
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IRI
1 - 4
COV
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COV
1 - 0
OUT
83%
10%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
IRI
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OUT
1 - 1
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARR
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
VIL
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
7 - 0
AMO
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +3 |