AD Covadonga vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AVI
3 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COV
3 - 3
ANT
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
COV
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COV
2 - 3
RUA
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COV
0 - 4
ALL
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OUR
0 - 0
ALL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 2
OUR
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
OUR
2 - 0
BAN
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 0
OUR
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OUR
4 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |