AD Covadonga vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
61.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AMO
1 - 1
COV
34%
21%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COV
4 - 1
VEL
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 6
COV
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COV
3 - 3
SAN
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOÑ
6 - 4
COV
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDO
3 - 2
ARR
85%
9%
6%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COL
2 - 7
UDO
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDO
5 - 0
RIB
83%
10%
7%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 4
UDO
7%
12%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 5
UDO
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |