AD Covadonga vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
EST
6 - 1
COV
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COV
1 - 3
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
COV
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
CAM
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
7 - 0
COV
70%
19%
11%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
RAP
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SDN
0 - 0
CHO
23%
25%
51%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHO
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |