AD Covadonga vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 3
COV
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COV
4 - 2
VIL
60%
19%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PON
0 - 8
COV
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
SAL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
COV
36%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
CEN
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 1
ARR
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
BMI
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
ARR
34%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 1
IRI
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |