AD Covadonga vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
COV
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COV
0 - 0
RUA
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 3
COV
26%
19%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
MEL
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
COV
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
CEA
58%
20%
23%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
4 - 1
CAL
53%
20%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RUA
5 - 0
ARR
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
3 - 2
SCA
16%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
4 - 1
ARR
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |