AD Covadonga vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
43.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
COL
4 - 2
COV
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COV
3 - 1
RIB
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 6
COV
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
COV
1 - 2
UDO
21%
18%
61%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AMO
1 - 1
COV
34%
21%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARR
6 - 1
CAL
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 1
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
2 - 5
ARR
38%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARR
4 - 1
PON
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDO
3 - 2
ARR
85%
9%
6%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |