AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
AGD
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SRQ
2 - 1
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
3 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
CFB
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
POL
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |