AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 0
AGD
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 1
ROQ
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 3
AGD
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
PUE
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 1
AGD
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
POL
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BET
2 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 1
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
YEC
0 - 2
RJA
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 2
ALM
65%
24%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |