AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CCF
2 - 2
AGD
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
VVA
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 2
AGD
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AGD
3 - 4
ECI
42%
30%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RJA
3 - 0
VVA
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ECI
0 - 0
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 1
RJA
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
RJA
3 - 0
EXT
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |