AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
JER
1 - 0
AGD
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
AGD
4 - 1
TAL
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SEV
0 - 0
AGD
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAL
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
AGD
3 - 1
CAD
49%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
2 - 3
RJA
34%
29%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
RJA
2 - 3
JER
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
TAL
0 - 2
RJA
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
RJA
0 - 0
BAL
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |