AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
ALM
1 - 2
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
AGD
2 - 0
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
XER
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
AGD
3 - 1
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 1
MOT
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 1
MOT
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ECI
2 - 3
RJA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
RJA
1 - 1
PLA
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 2
RJA
33%
29%
39%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
RJA
3 - 0
ICR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |