AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
AGD
2 - 0
XER
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1973 |
AGD
1 - 1
CCF
24%
24%
51%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
CDB
2 - 1
AGD
59%
25%
17%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
AGD
1 - 1
ORI
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
CCF
4 - 2
AGD
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
RJA
6 - 1
CDB
60%
25%
15%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ORI
0 - 0
RJA
60%
26%
15%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 0
CPC
56%
26%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
REC
1 - 0
RJA
70%
21%
9%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |