AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
BAL
1 - 0
AGD
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
AGD
1 - 0
CDB
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
ADL
0 - 2
AGD
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
AGD
2 - 0
REC
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
SEV
1 - 1
AGD
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
0 - 0
IMP
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CDB
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
ADL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |