AgD Ceuta vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
UDT
1 - 3
AGD
27%
23%
51%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
COR
1 - 0
AGD
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
AGD
1 - 0
POR
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
AGD
5 - 0
ARC
89%
7%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
UTR
0 - 5
AGD
40%
22%
37%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
JER
1 - 1
COR
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
JER
4 - 0
ARC
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 3
JER
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
JER
2 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
RIO
1 - 2
JER
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |