AgD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
SFE
2 - 4
AGD
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
AGD
2 - 0
COR
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
SEV
0 - 1
AGD
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 1
JER
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAD
1 - 0
AGD
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
HER
2 - 0
OND
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TAL
0 - 0
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
HER
4 - 0
UBC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ULP
1 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |