AgD Ceuta vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
RJA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
AGD
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SRQ
2 - 1
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 2
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
CFB
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 4
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CFB
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 3
ROQ
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |