AD Ceuta FC vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 0
CEU
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEU
1 - 1
SAN
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 1
CEU
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEU
0 - 1
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEU
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CRD
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASJ
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |