Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
AD Ceuta FC vs Felanitx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FLN
0 - 1
CEU
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SRQ
0 - 3
CEU
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CEU
4 - 0
CDG
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEU
34%
28%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CEU
1 - 1
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FLN
0 - 1
CEU
25%
27%
48%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
FLN
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FLN
3 - 0
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MLL
1 - 0
FLN
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FLN
3 - 1
CFP
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |