Casillas vs Las Navas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.7%
65%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+1689%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEB
7 - 1
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 2
BUR
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RAM
1 - 0
CAS
14%
16%
70%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 5
NAV
76%
14%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PIE
1 - 3
LAS
24%
19%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LAS
6 - 2
CEB
50%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
LAS
51%
19%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAS
7 - 0
BUR
81%
11%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAS
45%
20%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |