AD Cartaya vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Cartaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
VVA
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
JER
3 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
7 - 1
RLI
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
UDT
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LUC
1 - 1
UDS
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ARC
3 - 2
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
3 - 2
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |