Cartagena AD vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RAM
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ASE
3 - 0
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
MUN
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 2
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ASE
0 - 2
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 4
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CSU
2 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |