Sergipano Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
AD Carmópolis vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1200%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADC
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 3
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
SER
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
0 - 1
SER
10%
20%
70%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OSE
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 0
OSE
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 3
LAG
14%
23%
63%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |