Camacha vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LEC
32%
26%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
73%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PEV
2 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ACV
0 - 1
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
UDL
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
UDL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
VIZ
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |