Camacha vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
9º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAM
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
RES
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |