Camacha vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAM
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CES
5 - 2
CAM
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
SAN
18%
22%
61%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +6 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIB
4 - 0
GOU
75%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
GOU
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 2
ANA
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |