Camacha vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
9º
38
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAM
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
REB
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
3 - 2
CAM
17%
20%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
ACV
3 - 0
CAM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GON
3 - 2
MAC
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
GON
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GON
3 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 0
GON
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |