Camacha vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAR
21%
26%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PED
1 - 2
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
GAN
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FEL
3 - 1
CAM
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRO
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
5 - 0
TMO
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
AMA
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
PED
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
AMA
73%
19%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 4
AMA
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |