AD Cabense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
71.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 2
CAB
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAB
89%
9%
2%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 2
CEN
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
PET
88%
9%
4%
|
77 | 28 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 5
NAU
9%
18%
73%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |