Doce Mel vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 1
JAC
11%
17%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ADA
1 - 2
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
ADA
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
ADA
1 - 0
VIT
7%
14%
79%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAH
57%
27%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
SAO
29%
31%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
COS
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |