Doce Mel vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 0
ADA
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 2
SDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
ADA
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
ADA
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 0
BAH
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASA
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
RFC
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |