AD Alumni vs Cristo Minglanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Alumni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALU
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALU
3 - 2
ANU
45%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALU
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TEA
6 - 2
ALU
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
OMA
2 - 0
ALU
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cristo Minglanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CMG
3 - 1
HIG
72%
15%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RFA
3 - 4
CMG
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CMG
3 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 4
CMG
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CMG
3 - 1
ALA
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |