Segunda Play-Offs First-leg Final
Global 1-2
Alcorcón vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAB
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
3 - 0
CCF
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CCF
0 - 0
VAD
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 3
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 0
REC
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |