Alcorcón vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIB
1 - 4
ALC
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
UPL
1 - 0
COR
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 1
UPL
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CDO
1 - 0
UPL
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
UPL
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |