Alcorcón vs Fuerteventura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 0
ALC
39%
30%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
IMP
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UDF
0 - 1
AGU
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
UDF
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 2
IMP
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDF
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UDF
4 - 4
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |