Alcorcón vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
UDL
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
ALC
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 2
ELC
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
SPO
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |