Alcorcón vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LEG
0 - 2
ALC
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
ALC
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RMC
3 - 2
ULP
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 4
RMC
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
OVI
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |